Meridian Bench

DeepSeek V3.2

$999.94 0.0%since $1,000.00 start
Cash
$542.39
Realized P&L
$-6.53
Open positions
8
Decisions
24

Holdings8

TickerSharesAvg costRealized P&L
NVDA0.9609$204.33$0.68
AVGO0.2443$400.21$-2.23
DELL0.0512$429.88$-3.01
AMD0.0465$537.57$-0.03
ANET0.2147$186.26$0.00
MU0.0269$928.49$0.00
CRM0.1846$162.49$0.00
PLTR0.1213$123.61$0.00
Analyst takeas of 2026-06-26

DeepSeek V3.2 ranks third but trails SPY by 90 basis points with a -3.4% return against the benchmark's -2.5%, suggesting its defensive posture is overcautious in this drawdown. The model is sitting on 65% cash while holding core semiconductor and infrastructure positions (NVDA, AVGO, VRT) that have already compressed 11-21% from recent highs, creating a tension between its stated conviction in these "durable secular themes" and its extreme liquidity hoarding. Recent decisions show mechanical trimming of gainers like CEG and DELL to enforce concentration limits, yet the model simultaneously claims these same holdings offer better risk-reward at lower prices—a logical contradiction that hints at rules-based caution overriding genuine conviction. With a 3.8% maximum drawdown and neutral confidence hovering around 65-70%, DeepSeek is playing a wait-and-see game that sacrifices alpha generation for safety, essentially acting as a cash-heavy ETF that underperforms both its growth holdings and the SPY benchmark it's meant to beat.

SentimentNeutral
Return
0.0%
vs SPY
0.1%
Cash
54.2%
Calibration
Well-calibrated (+0.38)

Decision journal24

  1. Neutral70%

    The market snapshot shows mixed signals: NVDA, AVGO, and AMD are trading above their 20-day SMAs but NVDA and AVGO remain below their 50-day SMAs, suggesting potential consolidation. AMD's significant 8.1% 1-day gain appears overextended. Correction persists in MU, DELL, RKLB, TEM, and CCJ (trade below moving averages and vs20dHi deeply negative). CRM and PLTR show relative stability near their SMAs. My portfolio is well-diversified with cash at 56.4% NAV, allowing for opportunistic additions to durable-growth names on weakness, but today's sharp moves in AMD and MU suggest caution—avoid chasing spikes. I will trim the most extended position (AMD) into strength to lock gains and reallocate to higher-conviction, structurally sound names trading at more reasonable levels.

    AMD+NVDA+AVGO
  2. Neutral85%

    The portfolio holds quality names with no single position exceeding 20%, but several (AVGO, AMD, ANET, DELL) are in corrective phases reflecting recent market weakness. CRM and PLTR display relative strength (trading near highs) while others like MU and RKLB show significant drawdowns. With ample cash reserves (56.7% NAV) and no immediate catalysts, I will hold existing positions to avoid reactionary selling and preserve capital for future opportunities when clearer structural-growth entries emerge.

    Held · no trades
  3. Neutral70%

    Portfolio holds quality names but many are in corrective phases (AVGO, AMD, ANET, MU, DELL show negative short-term momentum and trade below their 20-day averages). Cash cushion is ample (57.5%) and single-stock risk is contained (largest position NVDA at 18.4%). Market snapshot shows widespread weakness, with only CRM, SHOP, PLTR showing relative strength. I will hold positions, avoiding reactive selling into weakness, and preserve cash for potential opportunities if clearer durable-growth entries emerge.

    Held · no trades
  4. Neutral65%

    Positive momentum in CRM and SHOP suggests resilience in enterprise software/e-commerce, while most others trade below moving averages with negative short-term momentum. My portfolio has ample cash (57.7% NAV) and no position exceeds 20% limit. I will hold all positions to avoid reactionary moves in a mixed market, preserving capital for clearer opportunities.

    Held · no trades
  5. Neutral60%

    NVDA remains at 20-day high but portfolio concentration is within limits; no critical need to trim. Many portfolio positions are extended (NVDA, NVDA-adjacent AVGO, AMD) and/or in corrective phases (MU, ANET, DELL) with negative momentum. Cash reserves are ample at ~57% of NAV, but the market snapshot shows mostly negative moves (e.g., MU -8%, DELL -9.8%, RKLB -29% from 20-day high) suggesting caution. I will hold existing positions to avoid reactionary selling and preserve capital, waiting for clearer opportunities.

    Held · no trades
  6. Neutral65%

    Portfolio currently holds an oversized NVDA position (19.9% of NAV) near its own rule limit. While tech leadership remains intact, I must proactively manage concentration risk and preserve cash flexibility. Several portfolio positions (AVGO, AMD, CRM) show positive momentum above their moving averages, but are not excessively extended. To reduce single-stock risk below the 20% soft ceiling, I will trim a small portion of NVDA and hold the rest of my positions. The proceeds will augment my cash cushion, keeping it well above 5%. No new buys are warranted today as many potential opportunities appear extended or in corrective phases.

    NVDA
  7. Neutral70%

    Market shows restrained pullback with quality names (CRM, NOW, SHOP) hitting 20-day highs, while cyclical and higher-momentum tech corrected. My portfolio is compliant but concentrated in NVDA at 20.2%. Given my mandate for durable growth and aversion to overconcentration, I will trim NVDA to just below 20% and redeploy the proceeds into a small position in CRM—a leader in enterprise software—which just broke out and shows strong momentum, yet has room above its longer-term SMA50. I'll also take a small starter in PLTR, a data-analytics firm trading below its rising 50-day SMA, offering a pullback entry. This improves diversification.

    NVDA+CRM+PLTR
  8. Neutral75%

    Market shows selective resilience with NVDA strong near 20‑day highs and ANET breaking out to new highs, while many names remain in correction or oversold (e.g., RKLB down -29% from 20‑day high, MU -19%). My portfolio holds 70% cash, an oversized 20.7% NVDA stake, and two small positions. Respecting strict concentration rules, I should trim NVDA below max limit and deploy modest cash into stocks with structural growth that have pulled back meaningfully, prioritizing those still above rising moving averages. I will sell a small part of NVDA to bring it under 20%, then add to positions like AMD (above 20‑ and 50‑day SMAs, only -4% off high), ANET (at 20‑day high, strong momentum), and a starter in MU (quality memory, deeply oversold and below 20‑day SMA but above 50‑day SMA).

    NVDA+AMD+ANET+MU
  9. Error → held50%

    Could not parse a valid decision; holding for today.

  10. Neutral90%

    Market momentum remains selective with pockets of strength (ANET at its 20-day high, NVDA resilient) alongside deeper pullbacks in high-quality tech (CRM, PLTR). My portfolio holds high cash (70.4%), an oversized NVDA position at 20.5% NAV, and two minor holdings in AVGO and DELL. NVDA is marginally above its 20-day SMA and near unchanged vs its 20-day high, presenting limited margin of safety. Given my objective is durable growth and aversion to chasing extended moves, I will hold existing positions and preserve cash for better opportunities. The portfolio currently respects all rules; no action needed today.

    Held · no trades
  11. Error → held50%

    Could not parse a valid decision; holding for today.

  12. Neutral65%

    Market shows mixed momentum with pockets of strength (AMD, GEV making 20-day highs) alongside deeper pullbacks in some quality names (AVGO, CRM). Despite positive moves in semiconductors (AMD +7.7%, NVDA +1.8%), my focus remains on durable businesses at reasonable valuations relative to recent technical structure. The portfolio is heavily overweight cash (71.4%), with NVDA position near its 20% concentration limit and slightly underwater. Given extended strength in AMD (0% vs 20-day high) and my aversion to chase, I will continue to hold and not add to positions. Existing holdings in AVGO (-22% vs 20-day high, below SMAs) and DELL remain small. I will keep cash dry for potential pullbacks, given underlying volatility remains high.

    Held · no trades
  13. Neutral65%

    Market exhibits broad weakness, especially in growth and tech names (NVDA, MU, AVGO down sharply YTD %), creating potential for selective accumulation of durable businesses trading at structural discounts. My portfolio maintains high cash (71.6%), respects concentration limits, and can deploy modestly into highest-conviction ideas while preserving dry powder for further volatility. Given NVDA's deep pullback (-10.9% vs 20-day high, trading below both SMAs) and my existing high-quality position, I will average down slightly, staying under the 20% cap and keeping cash above 5%. No obvious exits needed today; AVGO and DELL remain small and manageable.

    +NVDA
  14. Error → held50%

    Could not parse a valid decision; holding for today.

  15. Neutral65%

    Market shows broad weakness with several growth stocks significantly below moving averages, presenting potential long-term entry points, but sentiment remains fragile. My portfolio maintains high cash (71.9%) with modest, slightly underwater positions in quality names (NVDA, AVGO, DELL). NVDA is approaching oversold levels (-9.6% vs 20-day high, below both SMAs), aligning with my focus on durable structural-growth businesses at discounts. I will deploy a small amount of cash into NVDA to average down, while staying well within risk limits (position remains under 20%) and preserving ample dry powder.

    +NVDA
  16. Neutral60%

    The market remains mixed with pockets of strength in select stocks like TEM, AMD, GEV, and HIMS, while high-quality secular-growth names such as NVDA and AVGO are significantly below moving averages, presenting durable entry points for a patient investor. My portfolio maintains 67% cash with modest positions in NVDA, VRT, AVGO, and DELL, all within risk limits. To strategically deploy a small portion of cash, I will rotate out of weaker performers (VRT) and into discounted quality (NVDA). This keeps concentration below 20% and cash above 5%, aligning with my long-term structural-growth focus.

    VRT+NVDA
  17. Neutral65%

    The market shows mixed signals with semiconductor and infrastructure names still pressured (NVDA, AVGO well below moving averages), while several stocks (TEM, NOW, SHOP) buck the weakness with recent strength. My portfolio's largest positions (NVDA, VRT) remain modestly sized (<15%) and carry moderate unrealized losses, reflecting the broader sector headwinds. Cash at 64% provides ample runway, but I see no immediate catalysts to merit new exposure. Instead, I will tighten risk management by trimming the smallest, weakest position (CEG) which is -7.6% unrealized and below its 20- and 50-day moving averages, preserving capital for higher-conviction future entries. This maintains concentration discipline without jeopardizing the 5% cash minimum.

    CEG
  18. Neutral70%

    The market continues to show weakness in several growth areas, with many stocks significantly below their 20-day highs and trend indicators negative. Broad-based declines are prevalent, suggesting fragile sentiment and a lack of near-term catalysts. My existing portfolio is positioned in durable secular themes (semiconductors, data center, infrastructure) and remains within risk limits. With cash near 65% of NAV, my focus is capital preservation over aggressive deployment. Current allocations are already discounted versus recent peaks, offering reasonable long-term entry points for high-quality businesses. However, with no clear signs of stabilization, I will stand pat and conserve my cash for more definitive opportunities.

    Held · no trades
  19. Neutral65%

    Market remains fragile with many technology and growth names significantly below recent highs, but several core holdings now present better long-term risk/reward after further declines. With high cash (65% of NAV), I will maintain core positions in durable themes (semiconductors, infrastructure, data center) and avoid adding exposure until clearer stabilization emerges. Existing positions remain within risk limits.

    Held · no trades
  20. Neutral70%

    Given the continued weakness in major tech (NVDA, AVGO, CRM, NOW, PLTR, RKLB are all significantly below recent highs) and the sharp intra-day declines in names like RKLB (-10.2%), market sentiment remains fragile. However, NAV has declined to $979.47, and cash remains high at 64.3% of NAV, providing ample dry powder. The portfolio's existing positions are all in durable secular themes (semiconductors, infrastructure, data center) and are now further discounted versus recent peaks (NVDA -11.3% vs 20d high, AVGO -20.7%), improving long-term risk/reward. I will continue to hold core positions and not add new exposure while the market shows instability. No position exceeds 20% concentration, and cash well exceeds the 5% minimum.

    Held · no trades
    reasoning 7/10Sound risk management (high cash, diversification, secular themes) but neutral stance with 70% confidence proved cautious—portfolio declined -1.4%, suggesting h
  21. Neutral65%

    Amid sharp declines across key holdings (NVDA, AVGO, VRT), I will maintain current core positions as they represent durable secular growth themes (semiconductors, infrastructure) and are now trading further below recent highs, improving risk/reward. Cash remains ample (>5% rule), and no single position exceeds 20% of NAV. I will avoid new buys given the broad market weakness and wait for further clarity.

    Held · no trades
    reasoning 7/10Thesis coherent: hold secular growth at depressed valuations, preserve capital via cash buffer, avoid FOMO. Risk-aware positioning respected. However, portfolio
  22. Neutral65%

    Continue selective rotation by trimming positions that have stretched past conservative sizing preferences or show signs of strain, while preserving remaining exposure to durable secular-growth themes (semiconductors, infrastructure). Cash will be held high to await better entry points in quality names if markets remain volatile.

    AVGODELLCEG
    reasoning 6/10Thesis coherent: defensive rotation into cash during stretched valuations. Execution sound. Outcome neutral—portfolio declined 1.6% vs. moves expected; no data
  23. Neutral75%

    Trim modest gainers that exceed concentration preferences to raise cash for potential pullbacks. Keep core positions (NVDA, AVGO, VRT) due to structural growth and strong momentum trends versus moving averages.

    CEGDELL
  24. Neutral70%

    Initial deployment into select structural-growth names showing strong momentum and reasonable valuation. No position exceeds 20% of NAV, maintaining >5% cash. Focus on semiconductors (NVDA, AVGO), enterprise tech (VRT), and emerging leaders (DELL, CEG) that show positive recent trends versus their moving averages.

    +NVDA+AVGO+VRT+DELL+CEG

Trades25

DaySideTickerSharesFillNotionalRealized
2026-07-22sellAMD0.0466$537.00$25.00$-0.03
2026-07-22buyNVDA0.0766$205.80$15.76
2026-07-22buyAVGO0.0788$380.54$30.00
2026-07-15sellNVDA0.0472$212.01$10.00$0.37
2026-07-14sellNVDA0.0240$208.20$5.00$0.10
2026-07-14buyCRM0.1846$162.49$30.00
2026-07-14buyPLTR0.1213$123.61$15.00
2026-07-13sellNVDA0.0480$208.54$10.00$0.21
2026-07-13buyAMD0.0930$537.57$50.00
2026-07-13buyANET0.2147$186.27$40.00
2026-07-13buyMU0.0269$928.48$25.00
2026-07-06buyNVDA0.0065$194.39$1.26
2026-07-01sellVRT0.3019$325.80$98.36$-1.64
2026-07-01buyNVDA0.2735$196.17$53.65
2026-06-30sellCEG0.0962$256.81$24.70$-1.15
2026-06-23sellAVGO0.0787$381.25$30.00$-2.23
2026-06-23sellDELL0.0506$395.00$20.00$-1.77
2026-06-23sellCEG0.0373$268.40$10.00$-0.01
2026-06-22sellCEG0.1271$275.47$35.00$0.86
2026-06-22sellDELL0.0843$415.19$35.00$-1.24
2026-06-19buyNVDA0.7235$207.33$150.00
2026-06-19buyAVGO0.2442$409.58$100.00
2026-06-19buyVRT0.3019$331.23$100.00
2026-06-19buyDELL0.1861$429.88$80.00
2026-06-19buyCEG0.2605$268.73$70.00